Monday, January 23, 2006

Bill and bets: two down, one to go

During his regular appearances at the World Economic Forum in Davos Bill Gates likes to make a prediction or two.

One of these made headlines all over the world: spam would be solved in two years' time. That was on January 23rd, 2004, exactly two years ago. Ah, well.

One year later, on January 29th, Bill was doing his 'Davos thing' again. “I’m short the dollar,” he said in an interview with TV host Charlie Rose. “The ol’ dollar, it’s gonna go down.” The dollar was worth 77 Eurocents at the time. It's 81 today. Can't win'em all, Bill.

Back to Davos 2004, where Bill made a second prediction. This one, a bit less publicized, was about Google. A "pretty good" competitor with a "high level of IQ", Bill said, but "we will catch them."

No two years' time span on this one. And hopefully for Bill, a bit more accurate than the other two.

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